IMF Disagrees With World Bank, Says Nigeria’s GDP Will Grow By 0.8% In 2017

The International Monetary Fund has disagreed with the World Bank’s projection of Nigeria’s economic growth by one percent in 2017, rather it said the outlook was below one percent.

The IMF in its World Economic Outlook (WEO) report, forecast that Nigeria’s GDP will grow by 0.8 percent in 2017 — 0.2 percentage points less than the World Bank’s outlook — and 2.3 percent in 2018.

“Global growth for 2016 is now estimated at 3.1 percent, in line with the October 2016 forecast. Economic activity in both advanced economies and EMDEs is forecast to accelerate in 2017–18, with global growth projected to be 3.4 percent and 3.6 percent, respectively, again unchanged from the October forecasts.

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“Notably, the growth forecast for 2017 was revised up for China (to 6.5 percent, 0.3 percentage point above the October forecast) on expectations of continued policy support.

“Nigeria’s forecasts were also revised up, primarily reflecting higher oil production due to security improvements,” the report reads.

IMF economic counsellor and director of the research department, Maurice Obstfeld, on behalf of Christine Lagarde, MD of the IMF, said global economy will also grow by an improved 3.4 percent.

“Our central projection is that global growth will rise to a rate of 3.4 percent in 2017 and 3.6 percent in 2018, from a 2016 rate of 3.1 percent.

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“A faster pace of expansion would be especially welcome this year: global growth in 2016 was the weakest since 2008-09, owing to a challenging first half marked initially by turmoil in world financial markets.

“In many countries, previous downward pressures on headline inflation weakened, in part owing to firming commodity prices. A significant repricing of assets followed the U.S. presidential election,” Obsteld said.

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